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Conversation

manifold.markets

How much of my twitter audience will report being a genius?

Resolved 96. I'm going to tweet "You are more of a: "Dumbass" or "Genius"" Upon poll resolve, what % of respondents will have chosen "genius"? May 27, 3:45pm: This is also my first time doing a...

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Huh. So if the actual answer is off from my answer by 1% do I not win on manifold? Should I be submitting multiple bids over a range?

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I'm not sure? I was suspecting you get a % based on how close you were according to a bell curve

9:25 PM · May 27, 2022