Conversation

The school shooting in Texas is more surprising to me now that I live in Austin; the amount of people who concealed carry here is really high, and I'd assume small-town Texas would have an even higher %. I'm surprised nobody seemed to be carrying at the school!
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Is your point that a higher percentage of folks with CCW leads to fewer shootings? Would be very interested to see if you actually have data backing that up.
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My guess is that it leads to fewer deaths. I don't have good stats here though, cause it's hard to tell how many shootings are avoided cause of the presence of guns. It does seem like gun ownership per capita and gun homicide rates are uncorrelated across states though!
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Fair enough. I'm just going to add that I'm hardly anti-gun, I'm not even anti-CCW. But the idea that more guns = safer or would have made the tragedy preventable seems pernicious.
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Uncorrelated suggests that having guns does not reduce (or increase) gun homicides. If accidental gun deaths are positively correlated with gun ownership, as I believe is true (no reference right now) this would suggest a net added risk to having a gun.