body { -ms-overflow-style: scrollbar; overflow-y: scroll; overscroll-behavior-y: none; } .errorContainer { background-color: #FFF; color: #0F1419; max-width: 600px; margin: 0 auto; padding: 10%; font-family: Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; } .errorButton { margin: 3em 0; } .errorButton a { background: #1DA1F2; border-radius: 2.5em; color: white; padding: 1em 2em; text-decoration: none; } .errorButton a:hover, .errorButton a:focus { background: rgb(26, 145, 218); } .errorFooter { color: #657786; font-size: 80%; line-height: 1.5; padding: 1em 0; } .errorFooter a, .errorFooter a:visited { color: #657786; text-decoration: none; padding-right: 1em; } .errorFooter a:hover, .errorFooter a:active { text-decoration: underline; } #placeholder, #react-root { display: none !important; } body { background-color: #FFF !important; }

JavaScript is not available.

We’ve detected that JavaScript is disabled in this browser. Please enable JavaScript or switch to a supported browser to continue using twitter.com. You can see a list of supported browsers in our Help Center.

Terms of Service Privacy Policy Cookie Policy Imprint Ads info © 2023 Twitter, Inc.

Conversation

Do you predict Zelenskyy will still be alive in April?

Yes (>50%)
74.9%
No (<50%)
25.1%

4,571 votesFinal results

3:43 AM · Mar 2, 2022

Ronny Fernandez

Replying to

Put it on metaculus

1

Replying to

and

Already is. But metaculus doesn't do death markets for individuals so it's about the role.

1

5

Show replies

Replying to

I'd say 80% chance he's alive at 00:00 UTC on April 1

Replying to

He is the chosen by the establishment and Soros cohort - he will be alive

larry southsidesox

@SouthSidelarry

Replying to

If things go badly for him, they’d at least need him for a show trial.

1

Replying to

sans concessions on NATO/EU or evacuating, it seems grim

@WindyCornfield

Replying to

Killing him is useless and is very bad PR

1