What's the chance your weight end up 10 or more pounds heavier than you are now?
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What's the chance that I (Aella) will have 120k or more twitter followers on this account?
- 85-100%26.1%
- 50-85%37.1%
- 15-50%27.3%
- 0-15%9.5%
1,373 votesFinal results
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I forget how many followers i had a year ago but i think it was either 60 or 70k? so I gained either 30 or 20k.
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yeah you have to think in percentages rather than raw %. i loosely keep tabs on the follower counts of my friends and the high growth accounts grow in %. I actually can tell you what your follower counts were gimme a sec lol
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I grew less in 2021 than in 2020; this makes sense to me, in 2020 i was hustling onlyfans *hard* and the massive volume of eyes i was getting bled over at a rate of about 100 new twitter followers every day
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the full model in my head is really cool bc i'm loosely tracking lots of people! i will write down like an essay or something maybe when I personally hit 100k. all sorts of interesting dynamics going on. I personally believe that twitter nerds can wrest 1m+ ppl from off-Twitter
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when anybody in a group of friends/mutuals starts blowing up, it can increase everyone else's growth too, so part of my overconfidence about the earlier thing is that I think we are at the cusp of something few realize:
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Replying to @sonyasupposedly and @SHL0MS
one day people will write about how this part of twitter was legendary for all the overlapping origin stories
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yes, and those people will all get much larger too! we are still in the early days of the internet and there are still 3 billion people not yet online! this is completely counter-intuitive to people who don't think about it. like how much money linkedin etc are quietly making
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Most regular people would consider your account pretty big. I think it's human nature to sort of inflate your expectations as you achieve more. People sort of compare themselves to the people they consider their peer group, rather than to the actual average person