What's the chance the stock market have a significant crash that lasts more than a month?
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What's the chance that we have clearly achieved herd immunity to covid, whether by infection or vaccine?
- 85-100%13.3%
- 50-85%29%
- 15-50%29%
- 0-15%28.6%
1,680 votesFinal results
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What's the chance you have experienced a major relationship change (e.g., single to seriously dating, married to divorced, etc.)
- 85-100%10.4%
- 50-85%16.6%
- 15-50%23.7%
- 0-15%49.3%
1,811 votesFinal results
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What's the chance we see another disease outbreak in addition to the coronavirus that results in 100+ deaths by the end of 2022?
- 85-100%13.1%
- 50-85%11.6%
- 15-50%25.9%
- 0-15%49.4%
1,610 votesFinal results
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What's the chance your weight end up 10 or more pounds heavier than you are now?
- 85-100%3.2%
- 50-85%10.1%
- 15-50%27.9%
- 0-15%58.8%
1,714 votesFinal results
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What's the chance that I (Aella) will have 120k or more twitter followers on this account?
- 85-100%26.1%
- 50-85%37.1%
- 15-50%27.3%
- 0-15%9.5%
1,373 votesFinal results
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What's the chance you have picked up a new hobby you spent at least 50+ hours participating in?
- 85-100%11.8%
- 50-85%20.3%
- 15-50%33.5%
- 0-15%34.4%
1,518 votesFinal results
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Will you be happier in 2022 than in 2021?
- 85-100%22%
- 50-85%47.4%
- 15-50%21.8%
- 0-15%8.8%
1,664 votesFinal results
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What's the chance Elon Musk will announce a formal mission to put a person on Mars?
- 85-100%11.3%
- 50-85%22%
- 15-50%40.8%
- 0-15%25.9%
1,516 votesFinal results
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What's the chance someone from your immediate family will have died in 2022?
- 85-100%4.6%
- 50-85%14.2%
- 15-50%28.9%
- 0-15%52.3%
1,525 votesFinal results
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What's the chance at least two major airlines will mandate proof of vaccination in order to fly (whether by legal requirement or company policy)?
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- 85-100%27.2%
- 50-85%33.9%
- 15-50%26.7%
- 0-15%12.2%
1,461 votesFinal results
Replying to
What's the chance BTC will spend at least one full week below $25k?
- 85-100%6.8%
- 50-85%15.7%
- 15-50%42.4%
- 0-15%35.1%
1,368 votesFinal results
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What's the chances you will have had sex with a new person in 2022?
- 85-100%19.4%
- 50-85%11.6%
- 15-50%14.8%
- 0-15%54.2%
1,984 votesFinal results
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What's the chance that by the end of 2022, scientific consensus will have a majority agreement that aliens have likely visited earth?
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- 85-100%4.1%
- 50-85%9.6%
- 15-50%31.8%
- 0-15%54.4%
1,963 votesFinal results
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That's already the law in Yrp, I had to show my cert to fly twice already