Conversation

Aella
@Aella_Girl
2022 prediction thread! Ill RT this in a year so you can see how you did. First one: What's the chance that BTC be above 75k usd in one year?
  • 85-100%
    22.8%
  • 50-8%
    31.2%
  • 15-50%
    31.8%
  • 0-15%
    14.1%
3,320 votesFinal results
29
68
Aella
@Aella_Girl
What's the chance the stock market have a significant crash that lasts more than a month?
  • 85-100%
    8.1%
  • 50-85%
    23.2%
  • 15-50%
    49.8%
  • 0-15%
    19%
1,650 votesFinal results
1
9
Aella
@Aella_Girl
What's the chance that we have clearly achieved herd immunity to covid, whether by infection or vaccine?
  • 85-100%
    13.3%
  • 50-85%
    29%
  • 15-50%
    29%
  • 0-15%
    28.6%
1,680 votesFinal results
3
10
Aella
@Aella_Girl
What's the chance you have experienced a major relationship change (e.g., single to seriously dating, married to divorced, etc.)
  • 85-100%
    10.4%
  • 50-85%
    16.6%
  • 15-50%
    23.7%
  • 0-15%
    49.3%
1,811 votesFinal results
2
11
Aella
@Aella_Girl
What's the chance we see another disease outbreak in addition to the coronavirus that results in 100+ deaths by the end of 2022?
  • 85-100%
    13.1%
  • 50-85%
    11.6%
  • 15-50%
    25.9%
  • 0-15%
    49.4%
1,610 votesFinal results
5
7
Aella
@Aella_Girl
What's the chance your weight end up 10 or more pounds heavier than you are now?
  • 85-100%
    3.2%
  • 50-85%
    10.1%
  • 15-50%
    27.9%
  • 0-15%
    58.8%
1,714 votesFinal results
2
7
Aella
@Aella_Girl
What's the chance that I (Aella) will have 120k or more twitter followers on this account?
  • 85-100%
    26.1%
  • 50-85%
    37.1%
  • 15-50%
    27.3%
  • 0-15%
    9.5%
1,373 votesFinal results
2
9
Aella
@Aella_Girl
What's the chance Elon Musk will announce a formal mission to put a person on Mars?
  • 85-100%
    11.3%
  • 50-85%
    22%
  • 15-50%
    40.8%
  • 0-15%
    25.9%
1,516 votesFinal results
4
10
Aella
@Aella_Girl
What's the chance someone from your immediate family will have died in 2022?
  • 85-100%
    4.6%
  • 50-85%
    14.2%
  • 15-50%
    28.9%
  • 0-15%
    52.3%
1,525 votesFinal results
3
6
Aella
@Aella_Girl
What's the chance at least two major airlines will mandate proof of vaccination in order to fly (whether by legal requirement or company policy)? (submitted by
@AndrewFerguson
)
  • 85-100%
    27.2%
  • 50-85%
    33.9%
  • 15-50%
    26.7%
  • 0-15%
    12.2%
1,461 votesFinal results
3
6
Aella
@Aella_Girl
What's the chance BTC will spend at least one full week below $25k?
  • 85-100%
    6.8%
  • 50-85%
    15.7%
  • 15-50%
    42.4%
  • 0-15%
    35.1%
1,368 votesFinal results
1
22
Aella
@Aella_Girl
What's the chances you will have had sex with a new person in 2022?
  • 85-100%
    19.4%
  • 50-85%
    11.6%
  • 15-50%
    14.8%
  • 0-15%
    54.2%
1,984 votesFinal results
2
11
Aella
@Aella_Girl
What's the chance that by the end of 2022, scientific consensus will have a majority agreement that aliens have likely visited earth?
  • 85-100%
    3.6%
  • 50-85%
    4.1%
  • 15-50%
    10.3%
  • 0-15%
    82%
1,897 votesFinal results
3
8