That's fine if you keep it private, I just wanted to make sure you have it, since if you didn't it would make it harder for you to evaluate. I'm open to that in principle, but you are going to have to spend some time studying what astrology is first, so you know what to test.
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If you would start by watching that episode, I think it would give us a starting point for figuring out where to go from there, and what sort of test would be appropriate.
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i might, tho tbf im not sure i have a ton of time
but for the test; id be down to trust your expertise. Forgive me if this is naiive, but is your belief something like "Given time/location of birth, you'd be able to make more accurate predictions about my life than without"?
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Genuine question: how are you going to design a test for something you aren't familiar with? It is not a matter of trusting my expertise, because the question is have you looked into it enough to understand the premise and then decide for yourself whether there is anything to it.
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The premise is the the alignment of the planets at birth reflect some information about the nature and course of your life, and at certain key moments in your life those alignments coincided with important turning points. That is what you should investigate to see if it is true.
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While the premise does admittedly sound like it should not be true, for some reason it is. I would be really curious if you looked into it if you would find that there was something to it as well. But its up to you to try, by exerting some level of curiosity to investigate it.
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I'm just looking for a concrete sentence that one of us agrees with and the other doesn't, that feels like the crux of our positions here; my curiosity here is "does this door lead to anything interesting?" and if the test turns up right, then off i go
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what about a test like matching the birth chart to the person? Say we get 10 people from a friend group who know each other and also their birth times, and then we print out the charts and have them assign them based on which matches the most (they dont know whose is whose)
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or; we get someone who knows their birth time but hasn't looked at their birth chart, and then we present them a list of 5 birth charts, and they pick the one that matches most; if ppl tend to pick the chart that matches birth time more than 20% of the time, boom
these are just suggestions; happy to hear tweaks for something more central to your theories.
Also, would you be down to do the precommitment to saying publicly "I didnt expect this result and this updates me away from my prior model"? given you approve of the test beforehand?
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i am of course also happy to precommit to this, and we can also make every step of the test public too
i'd personally like to design a test that has a result that is a 1/100 chance of being accidental (as opposed to the standard 1/20) if you're down
I thought astrology was pure BS 'til I met an astrologer who gave me extensive printouts of the exact timings of transits to my natal chart and a book with some interpretations for each of them.
I was blown away by one undeniable connection after another.
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this is most likely a waste of time. major life events happen at too low a frequency to be statistically significant. also the "test" that he is willing to commit too will likely be unfalsifiable or take so long to validate that we will all have forgotten this.
What about multiple astrologers independently predicting the 2020 pandemic for the same timeframe, years in advance?
Is that proof enough? I'd like to read how skeptic rationalize that, if you're up to it.
theastrologypodcast.com/2020/05/11/mis
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