I do
but definitely want to fully design the test (and maybe have some external ppl check it) before I give any info
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also wanna register that depending on the test designed im prepared to pledge to a public "I didn't expect this result and this result updates me in favor of astrology being true" (and itd be nice if you were down to do this too, assuming you felt comfortable with test design)
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That's fine if you keep it private, I just wanted to make sure you have it, since if you didn't it would make it harder for you to evaluate. I'm open to that in principle, but you are going to have to spend some time studying what astrology is first, so you know what to test.
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If you would start by watching that episode, I think it would give us a starting point for figuring out where to go from there, and what sort of test would be appropriate.
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i might, tho tbf im not sure i have a ton of time
but for the test; id be down to trust your expertise. Forgive me if this is naiive, but is your belief something like "Given time/location of birth, you'd be able to make more accurate predictions about my life than without"?
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Genuine question: how are you going to design a test for something you aren't familiar with? It is not a matter of trusting my expertise, because the question is have you looked into it enough to understand the premise and then decide for yourself whether there is anything to it.
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The premise is the the alignment of the planets at birth reflect some information about the nature and course of your life, and at certain key moments in your life those alignments coincided with important turning points. That is what you should investigate to see if it is true.
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While the premise does admittedly sound like it should not be true, for some reason it is. I would be really curious if you looked into it if you would find that there was something to it as well. But its up to you to try, by exerting some level of curiosity to investigate it.
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I'm just looking for a concrete sentence that one of us agrees with and the other doesn't, that feels like the crux of our positions here; my curiosity here is "does this door lead to anything interesting?" and if the test turns up right, then off i go
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what about a test like matching the birth chart to the person? Say we get 10 people from a friend group who know each other and also their birth times, and then we print out the charts and have them assign them based on which matches the most (they dont know whose is whose)
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or; we get someone who knows their birth time but hasn't looked at their birth chart, and then we present them a list of 5 birth charts, and they pick the one that matches most; if ppl tend to pick the chart that matches birth time more than 20% of the time, boom
these are just suggestions; happy to hear tweaks for something more central to your theories.
Also, would you be down to do the precommitment to saying publicly "I didnt expect this result and this updates me away from my prior model"? given you approve of the test beforehand?
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i am of course also happy to precommit to this, and we can also make every step of the test public too
i'd personally like to design a test that has a result that is a 1/100 chance of being accidental (as opposed to the standard 1/20) if you're down
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This one would require the person picking the chart to already understand astrology in some sense though. Hard to find anyone who knows astrology who hasn’t studied their own chart.
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Maybe U could find someone who hasn’t seen their chart, give them a week long course of study, and then have them choose.
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If they didn’t know about astrology, looking at a birth chart would mean absolutely nothing to them. It’s just random guessing at that point.
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now that's a better idea, and best would be to give them interpretations of the charts, not the charts themselves
keep in mind that astrology is not only about personality so one of good ways to test it is by giving predections for a certain time that already passed and checking
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