I was trying to figure out a good estimate of total prostitutes in the US; general estimates are really vague or based off of outdated information.
BUT: I know how many women were arrested for prostitution in 2017, and I know the % of escorts who reported arrest on my survey.
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Ofc this isn’t a *great* estimate, but 8% of escorts I surveyed reported being arrested on the job, and the internet says 17300 women were arrested for prostitution in 2017, and if we assume a 8% arrest rate, this leaves us with an estimate of ~216,000 prostitutes in the US.
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I wanna doublecheck years (I only checked 1 year of arrests, and I asked the women about ever having been arrested over their total career, the full spreadsheet is on a computer I don’t have rn), but I find this a really exciting and more accurate-feeling estimate.
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Are the people responding to your survey more likely to be a particular type? - i.e. maybe a disproportionate amount of full time escorts vs girls with pimps, trafficked foreign girls etc.. Also IIRC one of the freakonomics books mentioned part timers/seasonal workers.
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If my sample is higher end girls with lower rates of arrest, then that would indicate there's even fewer total escorts than 216k
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