A magical genie who's super good at predicting human behavior, gives you two boxes. In the small box is $1k dollars. If the genie predicted you'd take *only* the big box, they put $1m in the big box. If they predicted you'd take both boxes, they left big box empty. You take
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If most people on this poll choose one option, then a genie who's super good at predicting our behavior would be able to predict that most people will choose that option....
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I'm not an expert *at all*, but I don't see Newcomb’s Paradox as an issue for plain old causal decision theory. Causal decision theorists are uncertain whether they are the code running inside or outside of Omega’s head, and the inside-code affects the content of the boxes.
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I take the genie, free it and we become best friends and go on adventures together. The boxes are lost to history.
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