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Aella_Girl's profile
Aella
Aella
Aella
Verified account
@Aella_Girl

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AellaVerified account

@Aella_Girl

whorelord http://aella.hns.to 

Austin
knowingless.com
Joined September 2012

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    1. Aella‏Verified account @Aella_Girl Jul 6

      Some deep part of me believes that people are only confident when they're very likely to be right, and I defer to confidence because *my own* bar for speaking confidently is pretty *damn* high. but no, turns out, ppl say confident things with a low accuracy bar *all the time*!

      48 replies 30 retweets 745 likes
      Show this thread
      Aella‏Verified account @Aella_Girl Jul 6

      I'm slow on the uptake; so many times I've been pulled in by a very confident speaker confidently saying things I don't really understand - then when I check, turns out he's actually wrong about quite a lot. This is super disorienting and I don't understand that at all.

      10:33 AM - 6 Jul 2021
      • 1 Retweet
      • 129 Likes
      • Kelly😷Roadkill Lincoln Mark Adams Sinclair Chen tebillus 中甴曱甲串申由田㗊𣊫㽬 David E. Bright ParticleMaceFan Chana (75/100 handstands)
      3 replies 1 retweet 129 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Aella‏Verified account @Aella_Girl Jul 6

          If you're dealing with a really complex or nuanced system, you should get an allocation of 1 confident thing to say per year; everything else you say should be "I suspect" or "it seems like this indicates".

          3 replies 3 retweets 107 likes
          Show this thread
        3. Aella‏Verified account @Aella_Girl Jul 6

          But for ppl who are very confident, particularly about very difficult subjects, what is going on in their heads? It seems like they're doing a separate thing from truth-finding, which is something like... deliberately making particular maneuvers in social reality space.

          11 replies 4 retweets 136 likes
          Show this thread
        4. Aella‏Verified account @Aella_Girl Jul 6

          Which like, might also be valid and in some instances leads to good things, I don't know cause I don't understand it - but whatever it is, it's not the default way I assume ppl operate, which is "have a really damn high bar for expressing confidence"

          11 replies 1 retweet 98 likes
          Show this thread
        5. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. Davide Baroncelli‏ @apprentisorcier Jul 6
          Replying to @Aella_Girl

          I've noticed that people who do this then become incredibly aggressive when challenged (because they're not used to it) and soon resort to all fallacies in the book, to the point of irrationality and denying reality.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Davide Baroncelli‏ @apprentisorcier Jul 6
          Replying to @apprentisorcier @Aella_Girl

          I remember a guy who was proven wrong by a 10 second googling and started yelling that he spends his life getting informed and his sources are a lot deeper than "your little Google". His friends in the meantime trying to bury themselves under the table.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation

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