You predict an unarmed black man has a greater likelihood of being
- shot to death by police54.1%
- struck by lightning45.9%
2,977 votesFinal results
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So, related question... If an unarmed black man were twice as likely to be stuck by lightning as an unarmed white man, would you be curious as to why that was?
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About 50 Americans are killed by lightning each year - compared to more than 200 black people killed by police per year
weather.gov/safety/lightni
statista.com/statistics/585
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"Shot to death by the police" is more likely but after that the policeman will claim that the black man was actually strucked by a lightning.so hard to answer...
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"unarmed" is doing a lot of work here. Lacking knowledge of the rate of planting guns on unarmed people shot by police, this is difficult to answer.
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Tricky question! I know that most people greatly overestimate the number of police shootings, but lightning strikes are pretty rare too. Back-of-the-envelope calculation says about 20 black men get struck by lightning in the US every year, with 2 dying as a result.
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If people were just asked to come up with plausible numbers for these two not anticipating a twist, I'd predict not nearly half would put a higher number on lightning
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