hey can you ELI5 the current geopolitical dynamic between the US and Russia and what it means for the future?
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America thinks it is strong enough to beat both Russia and China. It is likely wrong.
Russia is fortunately growing weaker at about the same pace the US is. So war is unlikely. But general fucking with each other is likely.
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I would definitely pay $5 to $15/month for a 200-1000 word/month ELI5 Samo Substack (or similar)
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US is hegemon, China is rising power. Historically, war is common in these circumstances. Due to economic interdependence and post-imperial global norms, it's less likely now. China will overtake US in econ but its prime security focus is internal. US remains more competitive4now
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