Opinion polls that measure political change across time very often don't ask the same people
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Replying to @Aella_Girl @izzy_diab
Except it’s much more likely that this is driven by the selection into your follower pool since these numbers diverge greatly from national random polls.
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Replying to @abarber1 @izzy_diab
Do they? I just looked at one and it was unclear
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Or... Walled, it wants me to log in? Is it free?
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Replying to @Aella_Girl @izzy_diab
Oops. Didn’t realize NYT didn’t give free access.pic.twitter.com/AqykXD5vha
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Replying to @abarber1 @izzy_diab
Two weeks isn't 3 years tho, do you have one that's longer?
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Replying to @Aella_Girl @izzy_diab
It appears to be monotonically increasing in nearly every demo, so you can just work backward by the column on the right.pic.twitter.com/5AqLkxqf5q
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Replying to @abarber1 @izzy_diab
I mean that's a suggestion that might be right but you can't definitively conclude based on just assuming the pattern continues.
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Lots of opinions change strongly in multiple dimensions over the course of 3 years, taking a 2 week sample during a particularly heated time is a terrible thing to extrapolate from
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Replying to @Aella_Girl @izzy_diab
Fair. This is much better.pic.twitter.com/eKNtL1tDMc
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Replying to @abarber1 @izzy_diab
Ok that seems decent. Yeah this makes me even more surprised there was no change in my poll responses over those 3 years
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