Predict: what's your estimated likelihood that by the start of 2025, it will be legal for private citizens to purchase guns from commercial retailers in the US
- 90-100%50.5%
- 50-90%23.5%
- 10-50%14.7%
- 0-10%11.3%
2,119 votesFinal results
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Lotta empty signaling on this, but if anyone wants to bet me $1,000 that Americans won't be able to buy guns, give a shout.
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A law to ban the purchase of guns would very likely run afoul of the 2A right in Heller, a precedent supported by six members of the current Court.
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I feel like gun control is a very low priority for progressives (since it doesn't map easily on either id pol or welfare) and basically a casus belli for conservatives. And a summer of riots made a lot of moderates see personal firearms in a more positive light. Also — Lindy.
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Oh, I see. Seems like we might have to wait and see what types of bills are going to come up in the next few years.
Yeah, I don't think the federal courts would allow an end-run around Heller with, "You can bear arms if you have them, but the acquisition of new firearms is banned." And I definitely don't think the votes are there in the Senate.