This is really speculation; none of this rises to the level of "evidence." Is it *possible* -- sure, of course. But persistently hammering on about how something is not impossible does not make it especially likely by dint of persistence.
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As someone 'rationalist'-adjacent, you'd probably agree that a carefully arranged narrative makes a complicated pattern of facts appear more likely, even in combination, than the claims in isolation. That's what this is.
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iirc some guy on youtube pretty conclusively proved the lab-escape case back in april using publicly available info about the researchers who were in wuhan
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