My guess is that this has shifted from black to white over the past 30 years or so.
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Per ingroup person, or per outgroup person? I think it's possible that P(outgroup member is hostile) is higher for white people, but I'd expect that to be outweighed by the greater number of non-black people, giving the average black person a worse overall experience.
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On the other hand, the first part may be totally wrong!
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