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The trans trend (no disrespect, just empirically it’s trending) is probably due, in part, to the declining monagamy norm. As the sexually liberal mating economy creates winner-take-all dynamics, more biological males hate being male. Add female empowerment norms, & voila.

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Aella

@Aella_Girl

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@jmrphy

Wait I think you're partially right but I'm not convinced - it doesn't seem obvious to me that sexual liberalism post birth control results in winner take all economies. I think the lack of war/manual labor/roles for men is a more obvious reason.

5:42 PM · Sep 2, 2020

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and

The winner take all mentality is extremely obviously in worlds where female sexuality is still highly regulated, but that's a big recent change; we used to have only polygamy, now it's free for all polyamory.

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and

This doesn't explain the egalitarian nature of marriage in the Balkans, for instance, compared to the US.

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and

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Tinder's Gini coefficient is 0.58, meaning "it has higher inequality than 95% [of] the world's national economies"

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and

Yeah but this doesn't necessarily mean this translates. I've been in large, near-exclusively-poly communities before and it didn't translate; the hottest men would have mostly just a few girlfriends (and the hottest women a few boyfriends), but not 80% of them

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and

You both seem to agree that a "winner-take-all dynamic" has at least been created, if not on the cause. What exactly does that mean? What patterns/behaviors are you seeing that cause you to believe that dynamic exists?

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and

The fact that more women initiate divorces than men do. It's not that are literal masses of polygamous female-controlled harems in the US, but that dating optionality has been transferred almost unilaterally to women. asanet.org/press-center/p

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and

Winner take all effects would be more prevalent in societies where women have a large degree of freedom over who they date. It's written in the statistical nature of our revealed preferences. Today's dating market is unprecedented in history.

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Martin Erlić

@SeloSlav

Sep 3, 2020

Women are interested in traits in men which happen to be lognormally distributed (status is Pareto). Men are basically indifferent to women (globally less shallow), even if the traits we're interested in are normally distributed (fertility and personality are Bell Curved).

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and

Ancient polygnous mating structures seem very different to me. Conquering warlords generated a lot of entropy. The ratio of such entropy generation to harem accumulation would have been massive by today's standards.

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and

I kind of think that the main issue here is that the hypothesis assumes that gender identity is something that can be (intentionally or unintentionally) socially molded, while all evidence points to it being hardwired and "welded shut"