If you could press a magic button and get the best possible economic/political/policy plan printed out that would eventually result in the maximum feasible fulfillment for humans, it almost definitely would include policies that look harmful and unintuitive.
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That's because "fulfillment" is far too subjective. It's why some people are religious & others aren't. Communal plans can't feasibly consider fulfillment, only practicality as it is related to Enlightenment philosophy.
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It's true. Because of the non linear way the world works, most people absolutely suck at predicting things with more than one variable.
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At *some* point in the unfolding stack of causal influence it'd probably have to spit out (possibly quite true) verbiage that was seemingly "intuitively good."
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at a glance maybe although I think it's probably part of any actually ideal policy that it also makes sense and looks good to people who read it
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Yes, because no one will agree on a single objective function for maximum fulfillment.
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It's like Louie's (RIP) riff on - of course we should accommodate people with peanut allergies. Of COURSE. But maybe.. if we just didn't for like a year, we could just forget about it forever. 🤷♂️