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Aella_Girl's profile
Aella
Aella
Aella
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@Aella_Girl

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@Aella_Girl

whorelord http://aella.hns.to 

Austin
knowingless.com
Joined September 2012

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    1. Aella‏Verified account @Aella_Girl 17 Mar 2020

      So the plan is to just... everybody hide indoors until... what happens?

      144 replies 32 retweets 522 likes
    2. Cy Watson‏ @cyluswatson 17 Mar 2020
      Replying to @Aella_Girl

      Cy Watson Retweeted Carl T. Bergstrom

      https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1240027806924296192?s=20 …

      Cy Watson added,

      Carl T. BergstromVerified account @CT_Bergstrom
      1. What does it mean to #FlattenTheCurve for #COVID19 #coronavirus? When this the diagram (below) and hashtag became popular, there was a tide of sentiment that we should take this epidemic on the chin, get it over with as fast as possible, and get on with our lives. pic.twitter.com/Mp8yWYc1Y2
      Show this thread
      1 reply 1 retweet 26 likes
      Aella‏Verified account @Aella_Girl 17 Mar 2020
      Replying to @cyluswatson

      But the latest discourse i've been seeing has been saying that flattening the curve enough will spread it out over a full decade and i don't think we plan on hiding indoors for that long

      7:17 PM - 17 Mar 2020
      • 52 Likes
      • disagreeable lawn carrot (day ??/30) Mark Chimes proglote David James Antranik DotOrg 1BrokeBloke krish Fabian Flatz 🦖
      11 replies 0 retweets 52 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. wokeness within the boundaries of mere reason‏ @_me_you_coward 17 Mar 2020
          Replying to @Aella_Girl @cyluswatson

          It's relative. China was able to massively curtail deaths by spreading it out over just a few months.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Christopher Schmidt‏ @crschmidt 17 Mar 2020
          Replying to @_me_you_coward @Aella_Girl @cyluswatson

          No, China didn't flatten the curve. They suppressed the virus. They're not at herd immunity; they continue to be at risk of imported cases, and will be at risk of needing to lock down again if the virus is reintroduced.

          3 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. New conversation
        2. Cy Watson‏ @cyluswatson 17 Mar 2020
          Replying to @Aella_Girl

          We are already doing phase 1 testing on a vaccine and Germany is saying they will have a vaccine by the fall. We flatten the curve to avoid a 7%+ death rate they have in Italy by having hospitals less overwhelmed on that initial spike. Car crashes, heart attacks etc all more risk

          2 replies 0 retweets 20 likes
        3. Jake Abdalla‏ @JLlama99 17 Mar 2020
          Replying to @cyluswatson @Aella_Girl

          If we isolate + test, we can then focus on isolating the infected, and ease up on the general isolation. S Korea is beating it without any lockdowns (due to rapid testing/tracking). We can get there by scaling up testing + time I think.

          2 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. New conversation
        2. CryptonMaximus  🇺🇸‏ @CryptonMaximus 17 Mar 2020
          Replying to @Aella_Girl @cyluswatson

          I'd say until hospitals have enough supplies to deal with rising cases (such as n95 masks) and more rapid and dynamic testing allows us to track outbreaks better

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        3. Moe  ❤️ Maximizing  👼 Superintelligence‏ @baroquespiral 17 Mar 2020
          Replying to @CryptonMaximus @Aella_Girl @cyluswatson

          but nobody is talking about how to provide hospitals with those supplies! in China, they built whole new hospitals in days!

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        4. Show replies
        1. Schism‏ @raskolnehkov 17 Mar 2020
          Replying to @Aella_Girl @cyluswatson

          The actual realistic plan is to not flatten the curve but to eradicate as much as possible. Once the case count is down enough, and testing ubiquitous, possibly letting up on some quarantining while aggressively pursuing local outbreaks.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Cy Watson‏ @cyluswatson 17 Mar 2020
          Replying to @Aella_Girl

          Cy Watson Retweeted Jeremy C. Young

          https://twitter.com/jeremycyoung/status/1239976309456916482?s=20 …

          Cy Watson added,

          Jeremy C. Young @jeremycyoung
          The Imperial College team plugged infection and death rates from China/Korea/Italy into epidemic modeling software and ran a simulation: what happens if the US does absolutely nothing -- if we treat COVID-19 like the flu, go about our business, and let the virus take its course?
          Show this thread
          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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        1. New conversation
        2. Joscha Bach‏ @Plinz 17 Mar 2020
          Replying to @Aella_Girl @cyluswatson

          I think the best strategy might be to impose lockdowns until the region in question has no unaccounted new infections for two weeks.

          2 replies 1 retweet 13 likes
        3. Eric w/ one wild life‏ @MutualArising 17 Mar 2020
          Replying to @Plinz @Aella_Girl @cyluswatson

          What do you mean by region? Things that work for localized epidemics do not work when new infections can come in from anywhere. We can do this temp stop and ramp up hospitals/testing/treatment the best we can and I was yelling for it 10 days ago, but it is /not/ a long term plan.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation

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