I expect severe impact. I'm not worried insofar as worry / panic isn't a useful stance. I'm doing basic prep for minimax reasons.
I expect SF, LA, NY to see major nCov impacts first within the US
also I don't have domain knowledge + haven't researched this well
I'm assuming most folks would classify flub season as mildly unpleasant. Weird that average expectation is less severe than normal flu.
Supply chain impacts seem unpleasant, if nothing else
1) 3rd largest city in county.
2) big Chinese population.
3) poor and inefficient public health system.
4) The only place in country where they can produce kits for testing 2019-nCoV is here
5) the government would try cover truth