I absolutely think a lot (most? nearly all?) trans people are trans because of default brain wiring or something, but I wonder what percentage are MtF cause they felt like they could never be a successful man, and because there's a clear community/path to acceptance for trans ppl
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I would strongly caution you to remember that, outside of rationalist communities, a lot of people care more about rhetoric than truth, and that misinformation campaigns are common. Asking the question does a lot of damage, and disproving it does very little.
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If it would help, consider accusations of sexual assault. The damage to the accused's reputation is incurred at the time of accusation, regardless of truth value. The verdict of public opinion is handed down much more swiftly than that of the courts.
End of conversation
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