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I absolutely think a lot (most? nearly all?) trans people are trans because of default brain wiring or something, but I wonder what percentage are MtF cause they felt like they could never be a successful man, and because there's a clear community/path to acceptance for trans ppl
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If I had to guess I'd figure it's probably that white trans women who come out are more likely to live in wealthy liberal areas where crime is generally less likely. Relative to white people in those areas they're probably still more likely to be targeted.
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I suspect this is a correlation v causation issue where cis people are more likely to end up in spaces where they’re killed for other things, but being trans is also a risk factor.
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