When it comes to conspiracy theories, I have a few rules: 1. If I were the conspirator, what would be the most sensible thing to do? 2. Things are more complicated and nuanced than they seem 3. Irrationality and mistakes exist. If a narrative is too clean, then it's suspicious.
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For Epstein: 1. Would "suiciding" Epstein reduce suspicion in me? Were there any other, more sensible ways to achieve that? 2. My motivations would be subject to a lot of different pushes and pulls 3. It's possible the guards were actually just negligent with no other motive.
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For 9/11: 1. Would false flagging actually be the best way to get oil (or whatever else I wanted?) 2. Pulling something off of that magnitude yourself without people knowing would be really complicated 3. It's possible everybody was just stupid and negligent
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I like the 9/11-was-an-inside-job conspiracy theory, I think it's one of my favorites. But the narrative around the conspiracy feels a little suspiciously clean to me. If I imagine being the mastermind behind it, it starts to feel closer to a thriller movie.
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Yes, definitely possible! But then the types of mistakes change. If I'm an expert banker trying to pull fraud, then you shouldn't be looking for really basic mistakes. A bad conspiracy theory would be giving the wrong tier of sophistication to the conspirator.
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