Conversation

When it comes to conspiracy theories, I have a few rules: 1. If I were the conspirator, what would be the most sensible thing to do? 2. Things are more complicated and nuanced than they seem 3. Irrationality and mistakes exist. If a narrative is too clean, then it's suspicious.
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For Epstein: 1. Would "suiciding" Epstein reduce suspicion in me? Were there any other, more sensible ways to achieve that? 2. My motivations would be subject to a lot of different pushes and pulls 3. It's possible the guards were actually just negligent with no other motive.
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For 9/11: 1. Would false flagging actually be the best way to get oil (or whatever else I wanted?) 2. Pulling something off of that magnitude yourself without people knowing would be really complicated 3. It's possible everybody was just stupid and negligent
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I like the 9/11-was-an-inside-job conspiracy theory, I think it's one of my favorites. But the narrative around the conspiracy feels a little suspiciously clean to me. If I imagine being the mastermind behind it, it starts to feel closer to a thriller movie.
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Epstein hits lots of "coincidence" heuristics, but 1 isn't right. Suiciding isn't to reduce suspicion, cause cases need more than that - it's destroying evidence. Besides, conspirators could be anyone, folk point to Trump, Arkancide or CIA but unknown billionaires could benefit.
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The Watergate burglars were caught by local cops. Not the President, nor the heads of the FBI or CIA were able to simply call the police precinct and squash it. Conspiracy people think there’s a streamlined process to do everything - but the world gets in the way.