Which of the following categories do you think presents the greatest existential threat to humanity?
- Climate change23.9%
- Nuclear war18.2%
- Artificial intelligence19.5%
- Drug resistant disease38.5%
9,206 votesFinal results
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Nearly all of the most intelligent people I know consider it to be a very serious threat
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Nuclear war and nuclear winter are the only real X risks so far....
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How hard will it be for some do-it-yourselfer to turn mousepox into smallpox using CRISPR?
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Of these only artificial intelligence and perhaps some extreme climate change seem actually existential.
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Drug resistant diseases will be a massive problem, we are no developing new antibiotics or phage therapies. It will however likely return us to the pre -940s equilibrium of disease burden rather than push us to extinction.
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I recently learned that the biggest danger from nuclear materials might not be bombs, but poisoning (e.g. of the water supply) with radiation