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Adam Posen proslijedio/la je Tweet
A spokesman for Nissan Europe said: "We deny such a contingency plan exists. We’ve modelled every possible ramification of Brexit and the fact remains that our entire business both in the UK and in Europe is not sustainable in the event of WTO tariffs.” Is the only truth.
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Adam Posen proslijedio/la je Tweet
Very interesting discussion on the relative role of fiscal & monetary policy in a low-interest-rate environment. As
@krogoff argues for strengthening monetary policy,@ojblanchard1 &@LHSummers push for more fiscal policy https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/resisting-risky-fiscal-policy-by-kenneth-rogoff-2020-02 … https://www.piie.com/publications/policy-briefs/automatic-stabilizers-low-rate-environment …@PIIEHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Adam Posen proslijedio/la je Tweet
Breaking/
@BorisJohnson just tried to ban certain national newspapers from a Number 10 briefing. This is truly sinister stuff. Hats off to the BBC, ITV, Mail, Telegraph & Times for walking out too in protest, rather than let him get away with it.https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2020/feb/03/brexit-news-boris--johnson-speech-barnier-cabinet-ministers-claims-uk-does-not-need-trade-deal-with-eu-ahead-of-pms-speech-live-news …Prikaži ovu nitHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Adam Posen proslijedio/la je Tweet
‘The election is over. The next campaign has begun. This wasn’t really a speech about Brexit. It was a rallying cry, rolling the pitch for the blame game to come’ me along with
@jdportes @jillongovt and @ProfTimBale on the speechhttps://ukandeu.ac.uk/statement-on-boris-johnsons-speech/ …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Adam Posen proslijedio/la je Tweet
Love the No 10 rebranding of a “no trade deal” Brexit - ie WTO with tariffs, serious friction and a bit of mitigation - as an “Australia-style” deal. Just a reminder: Australia has no FTA with the EU and is 9,000 miles away, not 30
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Adam Posen proslijedio/la je Tweet
I love Super Bowl statistics. (“No team that has failed to convert at least 35% of their 3rd downs has gone on to win” etc.) They are the best introduction to p-hacking that can be found outside major journals.
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Adam Posen proslijedio/la je Tweet
Net favorability of socialism, among: Sanders backers: +56% Biden backers: -4% All Dem primary voters: +17% All registered voters: -34% Independents: -45%https://twitter.com/mmurraypolitics/status/1223971036867239936 …
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Adam Posen proslijedio/la je Tweet
Going to say this until blue in the face: If
@BernieSanders is the Democratic nominee, it means the 2020 election will become a referendum on socialism, instead of what it should be, which is a referendum on@realDonaldTrump. ... and Trump likely wins in that case.Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Adam Posen proslijedio/la je Tweet
The Number 10 brief is no alignment, no concessions, no ECJ, and we want exactly the same deal as the EU gave to Canada. Also that the EU offered this then took it away. On this basis no deal (and also probably no deal with the US) and serious economic damage. Let's unpack... 1/https://twitter.com/PhilAldrick/status/1223885039051689986 …
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Adam Posen proslijedio/la je Tweet
Indeed. See this paper (first written in 1994!) that explains that the key advantage of modern regional trade agreements is not tariffs/quotas, but that they can help guarantee certainty and credibility. http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/208291468152704013/pdf/772680JRN0WBER0Box0377301B00PUBLIC0.pdf …pic.twitter.com/5jqe8xUlgP
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Adam Posen proslijedio/la je Tweet
We have only been out of the EU for 36 hours and already the “stab-in-the-back” conspiracy theories have started. It didn’t work out well for Weimar and it won’t work for UK
#Dolchstosslegende ps there isn’t a deal to renege onhttps://twitter.com/nickjbarlow/status/1223733432208982018 …
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Adam Posen proslijedio/la je Tweet
Translating economic theory from the classroom into the real world can be difficult. We're here to help with our first PIIE Case Study. See how economics actually played out with the Greek debt crisis:https://www.piie.com/microsites/greek-debt-crisis-no-easy-way-out …
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Adam Posen proslijedio/la je Tweet
Struck at how the financial crisis and then low interest rates have forced a transformation of monetary policy, and a reassessment of the relative roles of monetary and fiscal policy. This is starting, and will evolve further.
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Adam Posen proslijedio/la je Tweet
Still struck at the usefulness of the IS-LM as a first pass, thought organizer. Easy to add, and extend. In that sense, the opposite of (or, on a more positive note, the complement to) the NK model, with its rigid structure.
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Adam Posen proslijedio/la je Tweet
Dr Adam Posen - Brexit is the UK having a trade war with itself.pic.twitter.com/9mCAwdvAYa
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Adam Posen proslijedio/la je Tweet
"Le Brexit, c'est le Royaume-Uni qui se lance une guerre commerciale contre lui-même" (
@AdamPosen)https://twitter.com/Geoelte_Spinne/status/1223194725345304577 …
1:41Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Adam Posen proslijedio/la je Tweet
1) As a
#Brexit retrospective, this was the key tipping point, over 4 years ago, when every Front bencher except notably Chuka Umuuna, let themselves be convinced that a life long Eurosceptic was no longer a eurosceptic The rot started here, principles & integrity shelvedpic.twitter.com/BOot53QGS8
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Adam Posen proslijedio/la je Tweet
An ordinary day in an extraordinary global economy.... I took an idea to the editors of Bloomberg Markets - how about we capture what a single day looks like in the world economy? And they bit... So we sent reporters and photogs out around the world:https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2020-02-01/one-ordinary-day-in-global-trade …
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Adam Posen proslijedio/la je Tweet
What is the Glasgow Effect?
@RD_Economist explains how global trade contributed to the Scottish city's boom, as well as the heart-wrenching bust that ensued on the River Clyde.https://www.tradetalkspodcast.com/podcast/120-extreme-trade-the-rise-and-fall-of-glasgows-shipbuilding/ …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Adam Posen proslijedio/la je Tweet
“But slowing imports are a sign of slower trade and economic growth—not a revival of U.S. manufacturing, which remains in a slump.”https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-growth-cost-of-tariffs-11580430490 …
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