Adam Mancini

@AdamMancini4

Full-Time Futures Trader CL/ES intraday, also swing trade ETFs 2-7 day holds. Posting mostly swings here - fully transparent approach. Posts for my notes only!

Canada
Vrijeme pridruživanja: svibanj 2016.

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  1. Prikvačeni tweet
    29. sij

    My trading improved dramatically when I stopped focusing on the news, stopped focusing on macro analysis, stopped focusing on other peoples opinions, and just focused exclusively on a few simple price setups day in and day out. This kind of simplicity is hard to grasp at first

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  2. prije 6 sati

    Trailing stops are an essential part of how I manage risk. After a break out like tonight, I'll wait for price to make a new swing low on the 15 min and pull my initial stop to below it - and repeat. This locks in gains while maintaining exposure to the trend while its strong

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  3. prije 6 sati

    Break out for from the broadening formation and up 25 points from my post for those who took it. Would trail a stop to manage risk. Some nice bearish divergence building on the daily chart which means if we get to my 3375 target zone a good countertrend short opp coming

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  4. prije 7 sati

    This remains a very disliked bull market with lots of excitement on the selloffs & not much fanfare on the much larger rallies. Theres never any rush to swing short - if we do get a major downtrend the highest probability setups are often *after* the first 10% drop on a bear flag

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  5. prije 11 sati

    3335 target from just clipped. If long from yesterday good spot to take some off & trail a stop. I think more is ahead but the ideal would be to see more pullback/chop first to cool off the 4hr RSI. RSI is "fuel" for a move and the more overbought it is the higher risk it fails

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  6. prije 12 sati

    While its been a weak few days for , important not to lose sight of the big picture pattern. We continue to fill a large bull flag here since the January peak (in yellow on my chart) and the longer this consolidates the bigger the move will be. 18 is the breakout point

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  7. prije 14 sati

    1 Risk to be aware of is if we push to a new ATH today and collapse back in to the pattern hard as a fake break-out. 4HR RSI is fairly overbought so ideally this consolidates more before a breakout attempt

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  8. prije 15 sati

    There is a setup in place now for to breakout to new ATHs. After todays high, the action over the past few weeks has completed a clean descending broadening pattern. This is often a bullish trend continuation pattern, and a breakout would target new highs at 3375

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  9. prije 16 sati

    I posted this morning I was looking for a dip at 3330 in and its underway down 20 points. This dip becomes bearish to me if we fail hard below the 3300 zone (and below yesterdays high) at which point I would stalk short setups. Until then my bias is this continues up

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  10. prije 18 sati

    Excellent follow through from the bullish wedge setup in I posted yesterday and we've arrived at my 3335 top target after pulling back at 3310 first target. Would like to see a dip here here-if its gradual and holds 3300 (bull flag) it sets up a major breakout to 3400

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  11. 5. velj

    Yet another wash below $50 in today that was bought up a sign of accumulation for a bounce. We continue to hold that critical support level from June. (which has been very correlated to oil lately) has put in a few green daily candles and oil likely to follow suit.

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  12. 5. velj

    When a trade is moving against you there's 2 choices. You can argue with it and claim its manipulated or irrational, or you can stop out and move on. The market can take a very long time & more than is in your account before it conforms to what your idea of the proper price is

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  13. 4. velj

    Good week for bulls, up 95 points off the lows, 50dma held, and today broke out of a bullish wedge. We're backtesting last weeks breakdown area now at my first ~3310 target. Good spot for a countertrend dip but unless we fail back into the wedge this likely continues up

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  14. 4. velj

    We came a couple points shy from 3306 in and getting that sell attempt. Important to note - all last week before the breakdown this 3306 area acted as support and we washed out hard when it broke. It's now being backtested and this is last shot for bears. Looking to 3282

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  15. 4. velj

    Finally a green daily candle forming in and good follow through on last weeks setup - we've broken out of the yellow bull wedge. I'm looking higher, but since we're in a downtrend I don't get greedy (save that for with trend trades) and look to lock in gains progressively

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  16. 4. velj

    *typo: sets up more upside to 3335

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  17. 4. velj

    We should clip the 3306-3310 upside target here on and would expect a good sell attempt there by bears. It will need to quickly break back into the bull wedge shown in my below chart though and any weak follow through or sideways action sets up yet more upside to 3310

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  18. 4. velj

    Its worth noting that while most the attention has been on stock indices has been quietly building a bullish base. It put in a new low with 4hr RSI divergence and is also completing a bull wedge as shown in my below chart. Still looking higher here to 2.04-2.08

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  19. 4. velj

    Correction: Precise point of that trendline is 3306 not 3310.

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  20. 4. velj

    Key Levels Today: After multiple failed attempts to carry on Friday's downside momentum SPX has recovered most of the losses from the recent sell-off. Its now breaking out of a bullish falling wedge and needs to fail back in at 3265 today or this is headed to 3310 then 3335

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  21. 4. velj

    Good follow through for - This weeks action has been very constructive so far. $50.50 was key support since June and the washout/bear trap below yesterday is a common reversal pattern. There is a down-trend line from the Jan 7 peak at $52 now and above there breaks it out

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