Thanks to @BishopBlougram for the link
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Adam - what's the latest on serological studies in the UK?
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So maybe 20% now
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Does include estimate for further development of antibodies in more recently recovered people?
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I think
@AdamJKucharski already corrected for that, by pointing stating mid/early April. Actual testing was conducted in Week 18 (27th April - 3rd May) - Show replies
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A study of 3,200 HCWs in Stockholm looking both at PCR and antibodies to gauge the current prevalence found that 15% had been exposed (PCR and/or antibodies) as of last week. Caveat: HCWs only. Prevalence among all Stockholmers probably lower.https://news.cision.com/se/karolinska-universitetssjukhuset/r/stor-studie-kartlagger-coronasmitta-i-stockholm,c3114898 …
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This goes against the NYC experience. Cuomo pointing out how HCWs experience significantly less infection than the public.pic.twitter.com/qaRUiJWiak
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That still seems high if you calculate backwards from ICU admissions using French data published by Saljie et al. Would indicate around 5% infected (not adjusted for lag).pic.twitter.com/i81AlsFysC
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