This is a great paper, but I have some reservations about applying the conclusion directly to ncov2019. Tg might be longer, local R0s (esp initially) might be lower, and bold statements are being made about vaccines.
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Good point, those are important caveats. And connectivity will also have changed substantially in the past decade or so.
Kraj razgovora
Novi razgovor -
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I like the part where they say "These measures could include use of vaccines and antiviral drugs if they were available and effective against the virus"

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Slowing it is good. We need time to develop vaccines and find treatment protocols that may improve outcomes.
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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Witam. Czy może nam pan w skrócie powiedzieć, jak wygląda sytuacja? Do czego to obecnie dąży? Hello. Can you briefly tell us what the situation looks like? What it is currently striving for?
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The longer I can go without an nCoV infected person coughing on me, the better
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It isnot going to stop it but will allow authorities more time to prepare (policy for chools, public gatherings etc) and not risk a short term strain on resources. I don't hold hope a vaccine will be ready, but we will at least understand the severity.
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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Given asymptomatic transmission and the number of countries in which cases have been detected, I think the chances of containing it are near zero, especially if spreads to resource poor countries
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Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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