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Conversation

COVID-19 Actuaries Response Group

@COVID19actuary

Earlier today

joined the

@IndependentSage

weekly briefing to discuss excess deaths with

@Dr_D_Robertson

and

. You can view and download the slides and watch the full video via this link.

covidactuaries.org

Excess Deaths Presentation - COVID-19 Actuaries Response Group

Stuart joined the Independent SAGE weekly briefing on 27 January to give an excess deaths presentation. Slides and link to video here.

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Replying to

@COVID19actuary

Hi Stuart, finally found a moment to watch your excellent presentation. A question on cohort life expectancy - is there public info on how actuarial assumptions have changed? Or were your comments based on what you know individual actuaries are doing? Thanks.

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stuart mcdonald

Replying to

@COVID19actuary

Thanks Karen. The most obvious public comparison would be successive versions of CMI mortality projections model. Using a consistent long term rate assumption, life expectancy fell significantly from CMI_2019 to CMI_2021 and is expected to fall further when CMI_2022 released.

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Replying to

@COVID19actuary

Thank you - I’ll have a dig around.

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stuart mcdonald

Replying to

@COVID19actuary

Some comments on the CMI consultation from yesterday.

Life expectancy assumptions could fall by 6 months if CMI proposals adopted

The CMI has issued its consultation to help shape the next version of its mortality projection model, which is used by the majority of pension scheme trustees and sponsors in setting their funding...

12:09 PM · Feb 1, 2023

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Replying to

Thanks Stuart - very helpful summary.

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Replying to

@COVID19actuary

Excellent, thank you.

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