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Talks between experts from OPEC and its allies spilled into an unprecedented third day. Maybe I’m over thinking it but perhaps their trying to buy time to stabilise price as rest of market is rallying. Whilst meeting is on people will be reluctant to be sat in a short positionpic.twitter.com/ez2qOBnriH
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Told him to get out before the close, as it’s just the mother of all short squeezes. Looks like the right call (for now!)pic.twitter.com/byVnOZnSVS
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OPEC+ verbal intervention begins in earnest with Saudi/Russia ready for "further coordinated actions". This normally the litmus test to see if they can stabilise heavy selling pressure. I think we need break of current levels of support down to mid-40's before action materialisespic.twitter.com/qz3xyV5xL1
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Brent’s 6-month calendar spread has collapsed to just 84c backwardation from more than $4 at the start of last month, as traders anticipate a big hit to oil consumption from the coronavirus outbreak & plentiful short-term crude availability via
@JKempEnergypic.twitter.com/VhSDzIhxIG
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From 1990 through 2019, about two-thirds of all trading days in Brent had an intraday range smaller than 3% of the closing price. Iraqi base & Aramco attacks were the largest daily price percentage change in the past 29 years via
@EIAgovpic.twitter.com/BPRLH9k8Ji
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The always helpful crib sheet for the BoE from the team
@ING_Economics. I'll be covering the announcement LIVE with@snorth19 from 1130GMT https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qTVz-i_ceY4&feature=youtu.be …pic.twitter.com/jyBcBrjljs
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GS: Around previous epidemics, risky assets have traded more poorly for roughly 4 weeks via
@themarketearpic.twitter.com/jxipawnZKp
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Some suggestions that it could be 2 weeks until extent of Coronavirus will be know, given up to 14 days incubation period of being contagious but not showing any symptoms. Lunar NY has been extended and if spending on services falls 10%, Chinese growth would slow 1.2%, S&P Globalpic.twitter.com/GeAZS1osbb
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Hope everyone is having a great weekend. Here's a look at what to expect in markets next week...pic.twitter.com/UP3CEbNxQj
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Markets remain divided on whether the BoE will cut rates next week with CME BoEWatch tool indicating an implied probability of 55% in favour of lowering rates 25bps. I think the Bank will hold with a split of 5-4. Makes more strategic sense to wait (for now!)pic.twitter.com/UITgVgDThJ
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Some more details for the regional Italian elections in Emilia Romagna and Calabria. Voting is between 7am and 11pm CET. Once polls close, Italy’s state-run Rai television will publish exit pollspic.twitter.com/UvHXRr1eHf
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Reminder, on Sunday it's regional elections in Italy (Calabria and Emilia Romagna). The latter will be particularly relevant, as the result could have nationwide repercussions and has been run by left/centre-left administrations for the last 50 years. Graphic via
@ING_Economicspic.twitter.com/z3GPdcIxmc
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To date, 17% of the companies in the S&P 500 have reported actual results for Q4 2019. During the upcoming week, 147 S&P 500 companies (including 14 Dow 30 components) are scheduled to report results. Table via
@eWhisperspic.twitter.com/1vXQlNyLol
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Gold catching a decent bid since the stocks open, testing overnight highs in futures. This is a significant level YTD as includes price levels from the Iran escalation at the start of the yearpic.twitter.com/CNVemgREnO
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Main focus in upcoming ECB press conference is the strategic review announcement. Here's some context and key things to be aware of from the team
@RANsquawkpic.twitter.com/azsO9DaDjg
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Sign of the times of what may be very common if the lock up is removed for major data and events... websites aren't meant for 1,000's of traders hitting F5!pic.twitter.com/uaFOUwvIUn
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For any of our junior traders here’s a great short video on the history of oil with an overlay of price fluctuation over time. Will also help add context to understating the geopolitical environmenthttps://youtu.be/xMQUGSrnbP8
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Trump speaking
@Davos today. Two hours before@GretaThunberg. I wonder if they’ll be having lunch together?! https://www.weforum.org/events/world-economic-forum-annual-meeting-2020/programme …pic.twitter.com/RzHJo5Ldce
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