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Brent’s 6-month calendar spread has collapsed to just 84c backwardation from more than $4 at the start of last month, as traders anticipate a big hit to oil consumption from the coronavirus outbreak & plentiful short-term crude availability via
@JKempEnergypic.twitter.com/VhSDzIhxIG
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Welcome back to reality for GBP. Expect a large gap between the UK and EU red lines today when BoJo & Barnier speak. Although this is purely tactical negotiation the reality is that the stand off will last for months renewing the risk of no deal once again
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Blog updated with the video briefing this morning. Includes a technical review with
@snorth19 for those that need ithttps://twitter.com/AWMCheung/status/1223950769046663168 …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Chinese oil demand (largest importer in world) has dropped by ~3mbpd, or 20% of total consumption, as coronavirus squeezes the economy, citing insiders in China’s energy industry via
@business. OPEC technical meeting this week but watch out for March meeting being brought forwardHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Lots of headlines about the Shanghai Comp down 9% overnight. The Chinese futures traded on the Singapore exchange were already down 8% last week so what exactly did you think was going to happen! Keep calm and carry on
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Trying a new format for my usual calendar highlights and week ahead. Keeping it strictly fundamentals as that's where (hopefully!) I can add the most value https://www.amplifytrading.com/post/the-macro-menu-3-7-february-2020 … Let me know if you prefer this way or just the regular tweet image format
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Given the scheduled return of mainland Chinese markets on Monday and likely large gap down at the re-opening of trade. I'd expect plenty of comments over the next 48-hrs from the Chinese authorities promising everything but the kitchen sink
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In a counter intuitive way, Coronavirus could be good for stocks over the M-T if it prevents China honouring its trade deal commitments. In this instance, US leverage on tariff compliance is diminished meaning risk of renewed trade war confrontation decreases over coming mths
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From 1990 through 2019, about two-thirds of all trading days in Brent had an intraday range smaller than 3% of the closing price. Iraqi base & Aramco attacks were the largest daily price percentage change in the past 29 years via
@EIAgovpic.twitter.com/BPRLH9k8Ji
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Citi: Concerns that the recent slide in global stocks could mark the beginning of a bear market are misplaced, and investors should keep buying on dips.
@snorth19 have you been moonlighting at Citi again?!Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Epic
@amplifytrading Sales & Trading simulation@lborouniversity today!https://twitter.com/LboroSBE/status/1222893103478124545 …
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The always helpful crib sheet for the BoE from the team
@ING_Economics. I'll be covering the announcement LIVE with@snorth19 from 1130GMT https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qTVz-i_ceY4&feature=youtu.be …pic.twitter.com/jyBcBrjljs
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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Long day but surrounded by a great team so it’s always a pleasure, never a chore. Back to it first thing tomorrow morning and look forward to the BoE!
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
5 key topics for Powell presser via
@JimReid35 - Outlook for policy rate - Persistently low inflation & how it relates to policy review - Funding markets & whether T-bill purchases are QE - Financial stability risks - Implications for global markets * Wildcard: CoronavirusHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
We are LIVE if you want to join the desk... announcement in 3 minuteshttps://twitter.com/amplifytrading/status/1222586948361117696 …
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China's government economist stating GDP may dip below 5% as virus spreads. This is within the range of Wall Street estimates so not new/impactful information. China also looking to contain fall out by reiterating readiness to cut RRR and boost budget deficit
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Fantastic report from
@JKempEnergy on the global oil outlook for 2020/21 https://tmsnrt.rs/2RRR9RR#OOTTHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
GS: Around previous epidemics, risky assets have traded more poorly for roughly 4 weeks via
@themarketearpic.twitter.com/jxipawnZKp
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Interesting reading the press this morning. From banks calling the dip a buying opportunity, historical comparisons to previous pandemic recoveries to VIX inversions, the plunge protection team were certainly working overtime last night to counteract the growing pessimism
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