Skip to content
By using Twitter’s services you agree to our Cookies Use. We and our partners operate globally and use cookies, including for analytics, personalisation, and ads.
  • Home Home Home, current page.
  • About

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Language: English
    • Bahasa Indonesia
    • Bahasa Melayu
    • Català
    • Čeština
    • Dansk
    • Deutsch
    • English UK
    • Español
    • Filipino
    • Français
    • Hrvatski
    • Italiano
    • Magyar
    • Nederlands
    • Norsk
    • Polski
    • Português
    • Română
    • Slovenčina
    • Suomi
    • Svenska
    • Tiếng Việt
    • Türkçe
    • Ελληνικά
    • Български език
    • Русский
    • Српски
    • Українська мова
    • עִבְרִית
    • العربية
    • فارسی
    • मराठी
    • हिन्दी
    • বাংলা
    • ગુજરાતી
    • தமிழ்
    • ಕನ್ನಡ
    • ภาษาไทย
    • 한국어
    • 日本語
    • 简体中文
    • 繁體中文
  • Have an account? Log in
    Have an account?
    · Forgot password?

    New to Twitter?
    Sign up
APhilosophae's profile
CulturalHusbandry
CulturalHusbandry
CulturalHusbandry
@APhilosophae

Tweets

CulturalHusbandry

@APhilosophae

RT/Follow does not imply endorsement

Joined November 2017

Tweets

  • © 2020 Twitter
  • About
  • Help Center
  • Terms
  • Privacy policy
  • Cookies
  • Ads info
Dismiss
Previous
Next

Go to a person's profile

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @

Promote this Tweet

Block

  • Tweet with a location

    You can add location information to your Tweets, such as your city or precise location, from the web and via third-party applications. You always have the option to delete your Tweet location history. Learn more

    Your lists

    Create a new list


    Under 100 characters, optional

    Privacy

    Copy link to Tweet

    Embed this Tweet

    Embed this Video

    Add this Tweet to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Add this video to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Hmm, there was a problem reaching the server.

    By embedding Twitter content in your website or app, you are agreeing to the Twitter Developer Agreement and Developer Policy.

    Preview

    Why you're seeing this ad

    Log in to Twitter

    · Forgot password?
    Don't have an account? Sign up »

    Sign up for Twitter

    Not on Twitter? Sign up, tune into the things you care about, and get updates as they happen.

    Sign up
    Have an account? Log in »

    Two-way (sending and receiving) short codes:

    Country Code For customers of
    United States 40404 (any)
    Canada 21212 (any)
    United Kingdom 86444 Vodafone, Orange, 3, O2
    Brazil 40404 Nextel, TIM
    Haiti 40404 Digicel, Voila
    Ireland 51210 Vodafone, O2
    India 53000 Bharti Airtel, Videocon, Reliance
    Indonesia 89887 AXIS, 3, Telkomsel, Indosat, XL Axiata
    Italy 4880804 Wind
    3424486444 Vodafone
    » See SMS short codes for other countries

    Confirmation

     

    Welcome home!

    This timeline is where you’ll spend most of your time, getting instant updates about what matters to you.

    Tweets not working for you?

    Hover over the profile pic and click the Following button to unfollow any account.

    Say a lot with a little

    When you see a Tweet you love, tap the heart — it lets the person who wrote it know you shared the love.

    Spread the word

    The fastest way to share someone else’s Tweet with your followers is with a Retweet. Tap the icon to send it instantly.

    Join the conversation

    Add your thoughts about any Tweet with a Reply. Find a topic you’re passionate about, and jump right in.

    Learn the latest

    Get instant insight into what people are talking about now.

    Get more of what you love

    Follow more accounts to get instant updates about topics you care about.

    Find what's happening

    See the latest conversations about any topic instantly.

    Never miss a Moment

    Catch up instantly on the best stories happening as they unfold.

    CulturalHusbandry‏ @APhilosophae Nov 8

    The following information is provided via an anonymous data scientist and another anonymous individual who wrote a script to scrape the national ballot counting time series data of off the @nytimes website.

    4:12 PM - 8 Nov 2020
    • 6,207 Retweets
    • 10,904 Likes
    • jw Dan Nelson #DogFacedPonySoldier 🐢 sunnydupree Dr. Truth Rational Aussie Darshan Dorsey Blueyocean Wit
    616 replies 6,207 retweets 10,904 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. CulturalHusbandry‏ @APhilosophae Nov 8

        This is based on their proprietary "Edison" data source which would ordinarily be impossible to access for people outside the press.

        15 replies 477 retweets 2,199 likes
        Show this thread
      3. CulturalHusbandry‏ @APhilosophae Nov 8

        The CSV is available here: http://s000.tinyupload.com?file_id14566999163698825215s000.tinyupload.com/?file_id145669 … And the script to generate it is here:https://pastebin.com/NkYXrJEX 

        120 replies 702 retweets 2,161 likes
        Show this thread
      4. CulturalHusbandry‏ @APhilosophae Nov 8

        I suggest that everyone back up both of these files, bc this is an extremely important data source, and we cant risk anyone taking it down.

        28 replies 540 retweets 2,174 likes
        Show this thread
      5. CulturalHusbandry‏ @APhilosophae Nov 8

        What we are looking at will be time series analysis and you will see that it is extremely difficult to create convincing synthetic times series data. By looking at the times series logs of the ballot counting process for the entire country, we can very easily spot fraud.

        16 replies 603 retweets 2,250 likes
        Show this thread
      6. CulturalHusbandry‏ @APhilosophae Nov 8

        One of the first things noticed while exploring the dataset is that there seems to be an obvious pattern in the ratio of new #Biden ballots to new #Trump ballots.pic.twitter.com/jJAAF6Pp9X

        46 replies 1,209 retweets 3,462 likes
        Show this thread
      7. CulturalHusbandry‏ @APhilosophae Nov 8

        As we can see on this log-log plot, for many of the counting progress updates, we see an almost constant ratio of #Biden to #Trump. It's such a regular pattern that we can actually fit a linear regression model to it with near-perfect accuracy, barring some outliers.

        10 replies 450 retweets 2,040 likes
        Show this thread
      8. CulturalHusbandry‏ @APhilosophae Nov 8

        How could this be possible? Is this a telltale sign of fraud? Surprisingly, as it will be shown, the answer is no! This is actually expected behavior. Also, we can use this weird pattern in the ballot counting to spot fraud!

        6 replies 336 retweets 1,675 likes
        Show this thread
      9. CulturalHusbandry‏ @APhilosophae Nov 8

        Here is the same pattern for Florida. We see this linear pattern again.pic.twitter.com/YyVD9oWpwN

        5 replies 334 retweets 1,522 likes
        Show this thread
      10. CulturalHusbandry‏ @APhilosophae Nov 8

        and againpic.twitter.com/hDo1kKWZpf

        4 replies 285 retweets 1,404 likes
        Show this thread
      11. CulturalHusbandry‏ @APhilosophae Nov 8

        and againpic.twitter.com/2boSyJqPcC

        5 replies 271 retweets 1,399 likes
        Show this thread
      12. CulturalHusbandry‏ @APhilosophae Nov 8

        and again all over the country. What appears to be happening is that points on the straight line are actually mail in votes. The reason they're so homogeneous across with respect to the ratio of #Biden vs #Trump votes is that they get randomly shuffled in the mail...pic.twitter.com/0gqtTqFT4R

        10 replies 367 retweets 1,623 likes
        Show this thread
      13. CulturalHusbandry‏ @APhilosophae Nov 8

        like a deck of cards. Since the ballots are randomly mixed together during transport, spanning areas occupied by multiple voting demographics, we can expect the ratio of mail-in #Biden ballots to mail-in #Trump ballots will remain relatively constant over time...

        16 replies 355 retweets 1,686 likes
        Show this thread
      14. CulturalHusbandry‏ @APhilosophae Nov 8

        and across different reporting updates. Lets dig a little deeper into this:

        3 replies 249 retweets 1,392 likes
        Show this thread
      15. CulturalHusbandry‏ @APhilosophae Nov 8

        Here is a plot of the same Florida voting data, but this time it's the ratio of #Biden to #Trump ballots, versus time. What we see is that the initial ballot reportings are very noisy and "random".pic.twitter.com/FMgzvdhJu4

        11 replies 317 retweets 1,540 likes
        Show this thread
      16. CulturalHusbandry‏ @APhilosophae Nov 8

        The initial reporting represents in-person voting. These vote reports have such large variation bc in-person voting happens across different geographic areas that have different political alignments.

        5 replies 250 retweets 1,362 likes
        Show this thread
      17. CulturalHusbandry‏ @APhilosophae Nov 8

        We can see this same pattern of noisy in-person voting, followed by homogeneous mail-in reporting in almost all cases.

        4 replies 231 retweets 1,304 likes
        Show this thread
      18. CulturalHusbandry‏ @APhilosophae Nov 8

        What we see in almost all examples across the country is that the ratio of mail-in Dem to Rep ballots is very consistent across time, but with the notable drift from Dem to slightly more Rep.pic.twitter.com/SYlV0JZ2Iz

        4 replies 294 retweets 1,370 likes
        Show this thread
      19. CulturalHusbandry‏ @APhilosophae Nov 8

        This slight drift from D to R mail-ins occurs again and again, and is likely due to outlying rural areas having more R votes. These outlying areas take longer to ship their ballots to the polling centers.

        8 replies 271 retweets 1,400 likes
        Show this thread
      20. CulturalHusbandry‏ @APhilosophae Nov 8

        Now we're getting into the really good stuff. When we see mail-in ballot counting where there isn't relatively stable ratios of D and R ballots that slightly drift R, we have an anomaly! Anomalies themselves are not necessarily fraud, but they can help us spot fraud more easily.

        7 replies 355 retweets 1,603 likes
        Show this thread
      21. CulturalHusbandry‏ @APhilosophae Nov 8

        Now let's look at some anomalies:

        5 replies 252 retweets 1,291 likes
        Show this thread
      22. CulturalHusbandry‏ @APhilosophae Nov 8

        This is the Wisconsin vote counting history log. Again, on the Y axis we have the ratio of D to R ballots in reporting batch, and on the X axis we have reporting time.pic.twitter.com/E2rP6Zpa8c

        34 replies 721 retweets 2,241 likes
        Show this thread
      23. CulturalHusbandry‏ @APhilosophae Nov 8

        Around 4am there, there is a marked shift in the ratio of D to R mail-in ballots. Based on other posts in this thread, this should not happen. This is an anomaly, and while anomalies are not always fraud, often they may point to fraud.

        38 replies 1,437 retweets 4,689 likes
        Show this thread
      24. CulturalHusbandry‏ @APhilosophae Nov 8

        CulturalHusbandry Retweeted Matt Smith

        so what happened just before 3am CST in Wisconsin? This did!https://twitter.com/mattsmith_news/status/1323914505638809601 …

        CulturalHusbandry added,

        0:13
        Matt SmithVerified account @mattsmith_news
        Milwaukee’s 169,000+ absentee ballots en route to county election officials pic.twitter.com/kXTiAJ8Xsp
        107 replies 2,382 retweets 5,118 likes
        Show this thread
      25. CulturalHusbandry‏ @APhilosophae Nov 8

        Around 3am Wisconsin time, a fresh batch of 169k new absentee ballots arrived. They were supposed to stop accepting new ballots, but eh, whatever I guess.

        66 replies 1,815 retweets 5,155 likes
        Show this thread
      26. CulturalHusbandry‏ @APhilosophae Nov 8

        By 4am the D to R ratio was all thrown out of whack. That is because these ballots were not sampled from the real Wisconsin voter population, and they were not randomized in the mail sorting system with the other ballots. They inherently have a different D to R signature...

        22 replies 1,334 retweets 4,091 likes
        Show this thread
      27. CulturalHusbandry‏ @APhilosophae Nov 8

        than the rest of the ballots quite possibly bc additional ballots were added to the batch, either through backdating or ballot manufacturing or software tampering. This of this being kind of analogous to carbon-14 dating, but for ballot batch authenticity.

        44 replies 1,005 retweets 3,340 likes
        Show this thread
      28. CulturalHusbandry‏ @APhilosophae Nov 8

        lets look at another anomaly:pic.twitter.com/L9cCqJ9mKB

        12 replies 507 retweets 1,940 likes
        Show this thread
      29. CulturalHusbandry‏ @APhilosophae Nov 8

        Here is Pennsylvania's vote counting history. For the first part of the vote counting process, we see the same pattern for mail-in ballots that we've seen in every other state in the country, which is relatively stable D to R ratio that gradually drifts R as more ballots...

        9 replies 452 retweets 1,878 likes
        Show this thread
      30. CulturalHusbandry‏ @APhilosophae Nov 8

        come in from rural outlying areas. But then as counting continues, the D to R ratio in mail-in ballots inexplicably begin "increasing". Again, this should not happen, and it is observed almost nowhere else in the country, because all of the ballots are randomly shuffled...

        13 replies 562 retweets 2,267 likes
        Show this thread
      31. CulturalHusbandry‏ @APhilosophae Nov 8

        in the mail system and should be homogeneous during counting. The only exceptions to this are other suspect states that also have anomalies. Again, this is evidence of ballot backdating, manufacturing of software tampering.

        40 replies 611 retweets 2,467 likes
        Show this thread
      32. Show replies

    Loading seems to be taking a while.

    Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.

      Promoted Tweet

      false

      • © 2020 Twitter
      • About
      • Help Center
      • Terms
      • Privacy policy
      • Cookies
      • Ads info