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The large aftershock 15 minutes ago was around M5.1. That's preliminary but close. It was the second largest aftershock so far. The aftershocks are nerve-wracking, but we want to stress that they are what we would expect for an earthquake like this. http://earthquake.alaska.edu/event/20420230
So far we've located about 40 aftershocks in the first 3 hours, ten with magnitudes greater than 4 and three with magnitudes greater than 5. A magnitude six is possible but not very likely. The chances of an earthquake as large or larger than M7 is small (~4%).
99% chances for 7+M soon...
This it's hit near Peru Argentina near Caribbean sea Afghanistan
Fiji Japan—Russia (combined)
#earthquake 7+M possibilities 99% soon
Is there a way to find out what the chances are of another large earthquake hitting today or this evening? Or can we just expect aftershocks? I heard from a well respected friend that he said to expect another big one as early as tonight?
@globaltrickster Here’s the official USGS aftershock forecast: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us1000hyfh/oaf/commentary … Larger quake very unlikely, 4% chance. Magnitude 6+ aftershock is somewhat more likely, 27%. 5+ very likely—78%, probably more than one.
Beware the structures out there got weaken due to the quake and are now vulnerable to smaller aftershocks
Holy Cow 
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