A.A.

@AAcrypto_

Notes on cryptocurrency, trading and medias (not investment advice)

Vrijeme pridruživanja: listopad 2015.
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  1. Prikvačeni tweet
    12. sij

    Seems to me there are two important, but simple questions hanging in the air for 1. Did we hit bottom? 2. Are we entering a bull market? They can be characterized by different elements, I tried to answer them, but I'm probably missing some pieces.

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  2. 2. velj

    Happy to finally see this painting show coming together after months of work, I had the chance to help around in the making of this project Nicolas' work explores different themes related to politics, social interactions, economy, and financial markets

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  3. 14. sij

    The break of 8800 for is timid, but it still looks bullish Not a fan of moving averages, but this 6 month MA has proven significant coming out of an accumulation period

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  4. 13. sij

    (source material)

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  5. 12. sij

    Conclusion 1. Did we hit bottom? I think so 2. Are we entering a bull market? On the verge of it

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  6. 12. sij

    Finally, if I had to look at the most recent market structure and volume before the previous bull run I would say the bottom is in and we are progressively entering a bull market but in danger of a drop Note: not a fan of cyclical analysis, I prefer to follow the trend/momentum

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  7. 12. sij

    *If global politics are in turmoil than investors could lose their risk appetite and experience risk aversion which would drive them away. BTC performs well in a low & medium risk aversion climate but bad during high-risk aversion periods (so far).

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  8. 12. sij

    *An argument could be made that BTC blockchain analysis is ’out of date’ with the 'new market' and has been blurred by the PlusToken scam

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  9. 12. sij

    2.E The "2020" & BTC halving narratives Simply a question of reflexivity, the relentless presence of these bullish narratives in the media and on Twitter is certainly helping the cause and will shape traders/investors strategies/behavior Answer: yes

    We published our 2020 Crypto outlook and made the full report available for our clients. - bottom line: financial markets tend to discount 1-3 months, and maybe 6 months (max). So highest probability is halvening not priced in Cc:
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  10. 12. sij

    2.D New possibilities Nexo, Robinhood, Starbucks, Binance trying to reach a wider audience, etc. It's never been easier to invest in BTC. It's also worth noting the increasing interest government bodies and central banks show towards adoption. Answer: yes

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  11. 12. sij

    2.C Number of active addresses from The metrics are slowly reversing towards the upside, but I wouldn't jump to the conclusion that the activity on the blockchain is clearly showing bullish moves Answer: bottom yes, bull market no

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  12. 12. sij

    2.B Google Trends Whether there is short term manipulation behind this data or not, it shows pretty clearly that an increasing interest in gaining knowledge about bitcoin is fuel for the price (numbers of studies have covered this subject already). Answer: no

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  13. 12. sij

    2.A New adresses from Newcomers are clearly on the rise in the market and this is a very positive argument for the beginning of a bull market. It would also be interesting to consider the platforms/exchanges number of new clients. Answer: yes

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  14. 12. sij

    1.E Difficulty Ribbon from According to past behaviour, a flip then compression of the ribbon would suggest a bottom then a bull market. The twist seems to be there, but I'm not convinced that it has shown enough compression. Answer: yes

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  15. 12. sij

    1.D Bitmex Open Interest Considering there have been more than one big cliff dive in OI to "clean the market" and that it now seems to be on a progressive cruise towards higher grounds even with drops under 7000, the outlook is positive. Answer: yes, but watch out for 750M

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  16. 12. sij

    1.C Realized cap from This one lags behind quite a bit, but I still think that it shows something important about the market. Answer: unsure

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  17. 12. sij

    1.B Stablecoin Supply Ratio from The current ratio seems to suggest that the buying power of the supply is hitting a level where it would be strong enough to fuel a bull market (the lower the ratio the higher the buying power) Answer: yes

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  18. 12. sij

    1.A Risk indicator The signs are clear for this one: each time the indicator has stepped into 0.3-0.2 zone it went lower and found the bottom under 0.2 Answer: no

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  19. 7. sij

    *Reminiscences of a S̵t̵o̵c̵k̵ ̵O̵p̵e̵r̵a̵t̵o̵r̵ Crypto Trader Funny how this feels similar: liquidations, "bucket-shop drive" (bart)

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  20. 4. sij

    Compiled a list of series & movies that I feel are linked to trading culture/tech one way or another to pass the time while the markets are calm

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