I don't think "the data don't matter" correctly captures my opinion. With the data saying 1/3 vs 2/3 will persist vs desist, the data say we should be prepared for EITHER outcome. The science supports NEITHER extreme. Moderate is the new radical.
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Yes, I am referring specifically to the studies of the early onset type. There has not yet been a study of the rapid-onset people. Thanks for pointing that out.
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There has not been a study showing that rapid-onset people exist to start with. There was a survey of parents on a biased website. It is not a meaningful scientific study at all, it is at best a suggestion.
End of conversation
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But the landscape of early onset has changed. Children are being socially transitioned at 5 and told by their parents that they are Trans, and will be put on puberty blockers at 11 and transformed into girls and boys thru hormones and surgeries at 15. No real chance to desist.
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Has certainly been mentioned by clinician-researchers in both Amsterdam & Toronto that "affirmation" and social transition could be causative factors for persistence. Has not been systematically studied. So the "old" desistance rates may very well change due to iatrogenic factors
End of conversation
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