@380kmh how did the Japanese solve these sorts of problems for their bullet trains?https://twitter.com/markzbarabak/status/960561158624182274 …
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According to a biography, Sogo knew perfectly well that he was lowballing the cost; popular sentiment at the time was that trains would soon be obsolete, so he feared that if the price was too high, the project would never be approved
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Fortunately the risk was worth it; the Shinkansen was an instant success and a crucial moneymaker for Japan National Railways at a time when they were financially struggling...the Shinkansen paid its construction costs w interest, then later its revenue was applied to JNR debts
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How well do you expect the Cali bullet train to do, whenever they do get it finished?
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If they built a bullet train on the route they propose and operated it with the same standards they use in Japan (very frequent trains, mixed stopping patterns, etc), I would expect it to be very successful and popular--but I'm skeptical that they'll even finish rn...
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...and I'm not convinced that the incompetence we're seeing now will just vanish when it switches from construction to operation. Texas will definitely get their HSR before Cali, and theirs will be operated by a division of JR Central, so I trust it will be well-run.
End of conversation
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