I doubt it, but the key thing to remember about the pre-car era is that many (most?) people didn't own horses for personal transportation.https://twitter.com/vctrmonteiro/status/946096626740862986 …
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I do think driverless cars are coming sooner than people think. The impact will be profound. Has anyone done some articles on impact on public transit?
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There are many writeups on the topic (none have resonated with me enough to remember where to find them, but you could prob google it); I remain skeptical that they will arrive at all, but if they do, they could be immensely helpful for transit.
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I think that they could really help with commuter rail to address parking at suburban commuter rail stations, as well as addressing the last mile (or two) problem that mass transit often has.
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I maintain that most of the last mile problem = people being unwilling to walk (a mile isn't very far, guys! 20 minutes tops), but yes, for "last 5 mile" problems, AVs would be a game changer
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Good point. Another great thing is going to be the end of surface parking lots and garages in cities. It’s going to open up so much space in American cities (outside of NYC, SF, etc.) for development and parkland.
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yes! and that, in itself, offers many opportunities to solve last mile problems: adding more stuff within a mile of stations!
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Then, you mean that because cars ally the liberating effect to a relatively low management cost, they would still be viable even if public transportation were close to ideal
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Put it like this: Japan has excellent transit, the best in the world, imo, and it's both well-used and profitable. Japan is also so into cars that it's one of the world's best producers of them.
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Man , Japan always seems to be some steps ahead of everyone else when it comes to engineering and technical stuff
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makes sense
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