Cost of EMUs should be considered as the increment between their cost and those of new locos AND coaches combined.
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EMU is always going to be expensive-er because of the catenary problem?
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Yeah. EMUs are definitely a premium *relative to where we are now* but they are a *far* superior product to dual-modes.
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And the cost of electrification now gets amortized over generations of rolling stock.
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who is going to bear the brunt of the amortization. Is there tons of evidence that ++ riders will be there to bear the incr. cost?
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Unless there's concommittant LU ++ also in the works too.
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crowding on current CR, plus tripled ridership on Fairmount Line after modest improvements, suggest a lot of pent-up demand if freq goes up
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I could see modest inc to address crowding. But, for a billions of dollars invest only for modest ++ to current LOS -> :(
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modest investments (better frequency, more stops) TRIPLED ridership on Fairmount Line--that is not a modest increase!
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induced demand means increasing capacity (thru better travel time, higher frequency) has outsized impact on ridership
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the response to crowding here is not to reduce it, but to accommodate much larger crowds by providing much more service
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