People continue to be astonished that reductions in transit service and utter neglect of transit facilities is turning away ridershttp://www.governing.com/topics/transportation-infrastructure/gov-workers-telework-public-transportation-commute.html …
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imagine going to a city and knocking down every 10th house you pass, then having people write articles about "why are more people choosing to be homeless?"
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Hmm, I wonder which mode has seen the most service increases and new lines in the past couple yearspic.twitter.com/NPogxgKkBS
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Does the decline in ridership come after, or before, the service cuts? BART had seen some recent non-commute ridership losses which are about safety - the schedule hasn't changed. They could increase ridership if they could get more trains going during commute peaks.
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Depends on the network--briefly, ridership *may* go down w/o service cuts, but service cuts *usually* depress ridership
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I'd be surprised if you could find a service cut that didn't depress ridership, but I'd really like to see if that's what's happening, or if it's competition with Uber/Lyft/etc.
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If Uber/Lyft ridership has increased by the same amount that transit ridership has decreased, they may be the cause--but when I last looked into this, it appeared that most Uber/Lyft ridership was from trips that previously didn't get made:https://twitter.com/380kmh/status/1039262056673935361 …
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That chart shows that for 2017 - 2018, if about one fifth of new TNC rides would have gone by bus, that would explain the entire decline in bus ridership. But that's aggregating over entire U.S., where conditions are highly variable.
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Has anyone looked at metro area by metro area changes as TNCs start operating? Especially late adopters, or those with fast TNC uptake.
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Maybe--I haven't seen such data yet, though. It's unreasonable to say that *none* of the decline in ridership is a result of uber, but the fact that ridership has increased in cities like Seattle, Phoenix, and Houston--cities which assuredly have Uber--says there's more at play.
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As it happens, those are three cities which have reorganized their bus networks, expanded service, or both--and at least two of them, if not all three, are hardly what urbanists would consider "ideal" in terms of land use vis-a-vis transit.
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