I'm concerned that the speed of transmission outside China is about the same as the speed inside China, although in the early days, the Numbers were smaller. 1,2,3,5,7,10,15,23,... But eventuall the number will start to be over a hundred, will start to be significant!
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I've done a scaled comparison of
#2019nCoV cases since Jan 20th, inside and outside of#China, and it's scary - they are tracking very closely together...pic.twitter.com/txxw98r0ay
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Update:
@BNODesk has tallied a total increase of 1300+ new cases today for Hubei (since the last daily update for the entire country at 8 AM local time). This exceeds yesterday's Hubei increase of ~1000 by 30%. Stay tuned for my analysis after the other provinces report in 1 hrPrikaži ovu nitHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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Today's analysis is up! We're now at 9821 cases worldwide, and today's analysis compares case counts from CHINA with case counts OVERSEAS to see the trend. And they are tracking very closely together. Discuss the meaning of this new data here:https://twitter.com/2020WriteIn/status/1223061663693393922 …
Prikaži ovu nitHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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The data cant be much worse than that... The only thing that could be even worse is the fatality rate.
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I'd like to think so too... it's very hard to know much overall fatality and severity rates when we don't know what proportion of milder cases are being diagnosed. We must watch these first ~100 global cases closely and observe the outcomes!
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What were the comparable charts for Sars, Ebola, Swine Flu, Bird Flu etc.? Curious how much we can read into the predictive power of this, especially since the awareness of the virus has grown exponentially as well
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I wrote an article on this and there's a graph that explains it very well. https://dailycorona.weebly.com/blog/a-stark-comparison …
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Really interested to know where today placed on the chart. Is it inline with yesterday's thinking?
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We will know in about 2 hours when China reports its daily numbers - I will then go and update the chart.
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Čini se da učitavanje traje već neko vrijeme.
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