UPDATE:
Iran reported 139 cases in total, but it's likely the total is at least 1820 (95% CI)
We also evaluated a scenario where we assumed perfect case detection in travelers from Iran, such that
disease is truly absent in countries not reporting cases...
1/2https://twitter.com/2019nCoVwatcher/status/1232612012045275136 …
-
-
3800 to 53000 according to your own previous tweet
Danke! Twitter wird dies nutzen, um deine Timeline zu verbessern. Rückgängig machenRückgängig machen
-
Das Laden scheint etwas zu dauern.
Twitter ist möglicherweise überlastet oder hat einen vorübergehenden Schluckauf. Probiere es erneut oder besuche Twitter Status für weitere Informationen.
:
We estimated that 18,300 (95% confidence interval: 3770 to 53,470) COVID-19 cases would have had to occur in Iran, assuming an outbreak duration of 1.5 months in the country...