I’m not buying this
NEW: new pre-print study shows a new R estimate of 1.1 in Wuhan.
A virus is dying out when R < 1.0
#coronavirushttps://twitter.com/AdamJKucharski/status/1230253937263087616 …
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Well, Wuhan is in full lockdown. Virus can't spread that well when people are in their homes.
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What is R?
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Reproduction number.
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Please be true
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The quarantine is working. Now they have to keep people in for only 24 more days without ANY new cases.
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I’m in Wuhan and we are not allowed to go outside our apartments it’s all locked and all supermarkets are shut down there’s no one on the streets check this out
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Lower R0 partly driven by politics? Hubei leaders were just replaced by Xi loyalists with security backgrounds. Leaders in other provinces may be trying to avoid a similar fate by proving they are Not A Problem. Best way to do this - report fewest cases. Competition, cheating?
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Like the politics of provincial GDP reporting.
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Das Laden scheint etwas zu dauern.
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