Laura Jedeed (Misanthrophile)

Laura's sobering rundown: Biden is probably going to win. But a close, disputed, technical win for Biden is not going to pull the rug out from under the Far Right. It's going to embolden and energize them. If PA, NC or GA go to Biden, we'll breathe slightly easier. Slightly. 1/https://twitter.com/1misanthrophile/status/1324492303566688256 …

A 270 Biden victory that hinges on Nevada and Arizona is a Very Bad scenario. If you're not sure why: In 2010, Harry Reid, (D-NV), was challenged by Sharron Angle, a "tea party" candidate who was mocked for her extreme views on abortion and the separation of church and state. 2/

Angle lost, but driving across the Great Basin that year, multiple huge signs extolled people to vote for her. Because otherwise, they warned, Reid would send all the water to Vegas. A Biden win in NV is a win in Vegas and Reno. Most of Nevada doesn't like those cities much. 3/

If anything, they're seen as dangerous water parasites, with the concentrations of wealth needed to secure water rights, and deny them to the rest of the state. And Nevada is the driest state in the country. 4/

Arizona has slightly more precipitation overall. But both are sparsely populated desert states where rural people are keenly aware that any rain which falls on their land is already owned by one of the big cities downstream. 5/