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Neoliberal 🌐🇺🇦
@ne0liberal
I continue to think the 'election will be chaos for weeks, nobody will know' scenario is overrated. Possible, but overrated. It might not be formally called on Nov 3rd. But there are enough states that will count fast that we're likely to have a very clear idea of who's won.
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(((Harry Enten)))
@ForecasterEnten
Florida is likely going to count its votes fast on Nov 3... Models I look at suggest Biden's chance of winning the prez if he wins FL is ~95%. It drops below 50% if he loses FL.
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Antipodal Gray
@0xGray
Whether the result is genuinely unknown vs the result can have called into question in a manner sufficient for a segment of the population to believe (however low that bar is) are two very different things though