I agree with almost every point in this excellent thread by , though, for several reasons (e.g., bacterial super-infection in 1918, wartime conditions, higher Re and CFR), I don't think this will be as bad as 1918, and hence my comparison to the 1957 pandemic.
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I should be qualified to comment on the covid-19 pandemic. I'm a computational/system biologist working on infectious diseases and have spent five years in a world class 'pandemic response modelling' unit. In this thread, I will summarise what I believe I (don't) know. (1/12)
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