sentimentrader
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Insert bad puns about hibernating bears here. 8th lowest reading in 20 years.
1:47 PM Nov 25th
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Options speculation jumps to multi-year high:
5:09 PM Nov 22nd
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Uh-oh. Commercial hedgers in the NDX at an extreme net short.
2:36 PM Nov 20th
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Consumer confidence (waaaay....) lagging stocks following 2000 peak:
7:47 AM Nov 13th
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RT @: It's Veteran's Day and time to say thank you to all of the men and women who have served. $$
6:21 AM Nov 11th
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When $SPY opens <-0.5% on payroll day, close > open 47% of the time...reversals are more consistent on more extreme reactions.
5:45 AM Nov 6th
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For reference on $UUP, here is $UNG premium/discount after it halted shares on July 7th:
10:30 AM Nov 5th
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$UUP discount/premium (per halted shares pending new issuance):
10:28 AM Nov 5th
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HUGE shift in individual investor sentiment to one of the lowest readings of the bear market
11:00 PM Nov 4th
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Usual "Fed Reversal" pattern...when futures gap up 0.5% and close up 1% on FOMC day, 2 days later positive 1 out of 9, -1.9% avg.
12:00 PM Nov 4th
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Unleaded gas showing near-record specs net long too.
11:45 AM Oct 30th
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Heating Oil shows most bullish specs (large and small) in history.
11:41 AM Oct 30th
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In crude oil contract, that is
11:39 AM Oct 30th
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Large speculators just moved to 3rd largest net long position in history. Other higher readings led to short-term (couple of week) dips.
11:39 AM Oct 30th
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Past "biggest 1-day change in a year" for VIX have led to mediocre returns. 3 days later S&P was actually negative 14 / 24 times.
11:20 AM Oct 30th
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Only 4 times has NYSE Up Issues gone from <20% to >80% to <20% in 3 days. 2 major lows, 2...uh, not. 2/25/46, 11/5/48, 6/29/50 & 3/11/55.
10:57 AM Oct 30th
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If we close < Monday's open, watch for bears hailing a "Tweezer Top". Caveat venditor...it's an inconsistent predictor of future weakness.
9:47 AM Oct 20th
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FWIW (not much lately), SPY is 0 for 7 four days out when forms NR7 day at 1-yr high with negative breadth, assuming it holds into close.
12:03 PM Oct 15th
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When $SPY gapped down >0.5% and didn't close gap w/in first hour, it closed in positive territory only 16% of the time (53/331 occurrences).
7:43 AM Oct 15th
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FWIW (not much), 16 of the last 20 times SPY closed at a 6-month high with volume >40% below 6-month avg, it traded lower over next 3 days.
1:08 PM Oct 9th
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- Name Jason Goepfert
- Location Minneapolis
- Web http://www.sentim...
- Bio Monitoring stock, bond and commodity sentiment for individual and institutional traders and investors.
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