DecisionTech
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@ Thanks! We make Bayern 1.5 (full home advantage), or 1.6 (more realistic reduced home advantage). Chelsea look good value.
7:56 AM May 19th
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in reply to BetfairSports
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@ We did some work to find out if Bayern are really at home in UCL final, and how it might impact prices:
6:18 AM May 19th
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New analysis in The Times: Are at home in the final? How might "home advantage" affect their chances? (£)
6:15 AM May 19th
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Leon Osman only player missing from best England 4-4-2 according to @ and @ Overlooked?
6:04 AM May 16th
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New Analysis in the Times: Who is the player of the year? No surprises for guessing the answer... (£)
2:41 AM May 12th
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New analysis in today's Times: Who will win the FA Cup and why and were favourites from an early stage: (£)
3:47 AM May 5th
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Bookies appear to favour . A win is priced at 3.15 on @, an edge of nearly 20% if you believe in our prediction!
8:39 AM May 3rd
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Predictions for tonight's Championship play-off match: 38%, 36.6% and 25.4% to draw
8:37 AM May 3rd
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Predictions for tonight's Manchester derby: 46%, 30% and 24% to draw. City's title chance ~62% if they beat United.
3:24 AM Apr 30th
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@ @ Interesting analysis, thanks for telling us about it. However, I must say we don't agree with your conclusions!
1:14 AM Apr 30th
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in reply to javierjotah
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New analysis in today's Times. Who is manager of the season and how do you even measure manager success? (£)
3:01 AM Apr 28th
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@ Nope, game density is not taken into account
9:14 AM Apr 27th
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in reply to omontealegrez
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@ Thanks for the , loving your blog too!
6:40 AM Apr 27th
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in reply to MarkTaylor0
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UCL win chance is 43% on neutral ground, 33% on away ground. But will enjoy full home advantage? More:
3:16 AM Apr 27th
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@ thanks Simon!
2:24 PM Apr 26th
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in reply to SimonGleave
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@ We wrote a blog piece on why might not enjoy the full benefits of home advantage in the final:
10:35 AM Apr 26th
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in reply to BluesChronicle
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NEW on our blog: Are at home in the final? It sounds like a stupid question: but it really isn't...
10:33 AM Apr 26th
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Nice to see @ 's model's love of Chelsea finally paying off. The odds on were great value @ last night.
12:30 AM Apr 25th
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And many odds are massively in favour of . Perhaps should qualify to reward rational investors.
10:05 AM Apr 24th
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@ currently offers to qualify at 3, implying a prob. of 33%. An edge of almost 50% if you fancy our predictions!
10:03 AM Apr 24th
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- Name Decision Technology
- Location London
- Web http://dectech.or...
- Bio Mathematical models for football analytics. We are closely engaged with stakeholders and participants in the sport.
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