clfenwi
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2012 Atlantic Storm Names
about 3 hours ago
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Man, I've been writing about storm names long enough that I can actually crib from an old 2006 post to write up this year's names. Sweet.
about 4 hours ago
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give information on performance of past predictions.Also like to show that the notion that the predictions are always overblown is false.
about 18 hours ago
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Nothing terribly groundbreaking,but I do like to put the numbers together since articles about the current season's predictions rarely...
about 18 hours ago
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My review of 2007-2011 hurricane season predictions will therefore have to wait a day.
about 18 hours ago
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Ugh. Don't have the my tracking spreadsheet for hurricane predictions available and don't feel like recreating it from scratch.
about 18 hours ago
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The last of the predictions that I track to be relased comes out from Colorado State on Friday.
8:11 AM May 30th
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Tomorrow, I'll write up a post about the 2011 predictions and Friday I'll have a post on the 2012 predictions.
8:10 AM May 30th
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...but was a little off in 2011, when it forecat 163 units of ACE, compared to an observed amount of 127.
8:09 AM May 30th
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That's a tiny bit higher than the other forecasts released so far. The model had outstanding performance is 2009 & 2010...
8:07 AM May 30th
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FSU COAPS 2012 Hurricane season forecast: 13 named storms, 7 hurricanes, 122 units Accumulated Cyclone Energy
8:04 AM May 30th
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As such, shouldn't have any more of those smokeouts, which plagued us last month and as recently as Saturday, anytime soon.
4:03 PM May 29th
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Gainesville recorded just over 1" of rain. Looks like they are about to get some more, from the southern end of the band that's through Jax
4:02 PM May 29th
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As of 5:00 PM, Jax International Airport recorded 1.49" of rain. Just might catch one more shower to add to that total tonight.
4:00 PM May 29th
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This one was put out at 4:00 PM. It states a new one will be put out later tonight. Check
3:57 PM May 29th
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National Weather Service Office has been putting out little briefings on Beryl.Unfortunately I haven't noticed them when they're hot & fresh
3:56 PM May 29th
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Main rainband has cleared downtown Jacksonville. Might get clipped by a narrow band in an hour or so, but won't be long lasting.
9:36 AM May 29th
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Recall that 2007 had two storms by June 1st... then nothing until the end of July. And it was a couple more weeks until 1st hurricane.
8:53 AM May 29th
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ECMWF 00z has TD Beryl as the only global tropical cyclone through next 10-days. Quiet period typical of early June
8:23 AM May 29th
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Moderate-heavy rain across the whole Jacksonville area for the time being though. Clearing from west to east.
6:25 AM May 29th
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- Name Charles Fenwick
- Location Jacksonville, FL
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